Notes from a former red Republican political strategist who's turned PURPLE...
WELCOME
Don't know if you've read me from the beginning in Oct. of '02 or stuck with me when my posts dropped off after Bush 2.0's re-election in '04 but 2008 is too important an election not
to comment given my unique perspective, so I blog. If you're new here and don't know what the hell I'm talking about, see below.
My bet is it's a landslide. That's my prediction. I believe that Obama will win by 6+ points and over 310 electoral votes. In our current political environment (the last 20 years), that would be a landslide. Mark it; 10/24/08.
10/24/2008 1:03 PM
bones wrote:
I agree. Although I think it will be bigger. I don't think voters will stop voting after Obama has it sealed up oin the east coast. People will want to tell their kids they voted Obama in 2008. That will be good for down-ballot elections and questions in the rest of the country (particularly question 8 in CA). Reply to this
10/24/2008 1:36 PM
Little Ms Purple wrote:
That's exactly right... "People will want to tell their kids (and their grandkids) they voted for Obama in 2008." Couldn't have said it better myself. Thanks for the comment. LMP Reply to this
10/24/2008 2:16 PM
bones wrote:
Also, if any vote is suppressed, it'll be the GOP vote. As the polls close in places like FL, OH, PA, and VA, turnout on the GOP side will begin to lag on the west coast. Maybe we'll see 60 seats in the Senate (although I almost kind of don't think that would be good for the country). Reply to this
10/24/2008 2:21 PM
Little Ms Purple wrote:
Good point... although, I truly believe (but could be wrong), that Obama is going to have more trouble with the Democratic side of the Congress than the Republican... what I mean by that is that I think Obama is going to govern much closer to the center than is currently believed due to his voting record in the Senate. To that end, Obama is going to need the moderate Republicans to get his things done and catering to them will while holding the Democratic majority in check will surprise many. Reply to this
10/24/2008 3:05 PM
bones wrote:
There's no doubt Obama has to govern from the center. I think those on the left will cry foul after these last 8 years, but this country can't afford an massive swing to the left and I think Obama knows this. Which is why I'd much prefer a less than 60% but more than 50% majority in the senate. This way Obama can govern from the middle while not getting steamrolled by a far left agenda.
I agree. Although I think it will be bigger. I don't think voters will stop voting after Obama has it sealed up oin the east coast. People will want to tell their kids they voted Obama in 2008. That will be good for down-ballot elections and questions in the rest of the country (particularly question 8 in CA).
Reply to this
That's exactly right... "People will want to tell their kids (and their grandkids) they voted for Obama in 2008." Couldn't have said it better myself. Thanks for the comment. LMP
Reply to this
Also, if any vote is suppressed, it'll be the GOP vote. As the polls close in places like FL, OH, PA, and VA, turnout on the GOP side will begin to lag on the west coast. Maybe we'll see 60 seats in the Senate (although I almost kind of don't think that would be good for the country).
Reply to this
Good point... although, I truly believe (but could be wrong), that Obama is going to have more trouble with the Democratic side of the Congress than the Republican... what I mean by that is that I think Obama is going to govern much closer to the center than is currently believed due to his voting record in the Senate. To that end, Obama is going to need the moderate Republicans to get his things done and catering to them will while holding the Democratic majority in check will surprise many.
Reply to this
There's no doubt Obama has to govern from the center. I think those on the left will cry foul after these last 8 years, but this country can't afford an massive swing to the left and I think Obama knows this. Which is why I'd much prefer a less than 60% but more than 50% majority in the senate. This way Obama can govern from the middle while not getting steamrolled by a far left agenda.
In the end, I think we agree.
Reply to this